Welcome to this weekend’s edition of the UOA report, a new project I’m working on that I hope can help find some undiscovered gems in the market.
Financial institutions and whale traders often use the options market to express a stock opinion.
And since these speculators are often risking millions of dollars on “long shots” it’s believed among some circles that they know something (the smart money)…
As for me, it sounds interesting enough to explore, especially if it can help me put pieces of the puzzle together for my catalyst trades.
But like I told you in the Importance of Keeping a Trading Journal, it’s essential that you know where your profits and losses are coming from. You always want to double down on your strengths and eliminate whatever isn’t working.
And since UOA isn’t my bread and butter, it’s something I’m going to take my time with and if I’m able to find an edge then I’ll start to ramp it up.
(When I experiment new strategies I start off very small and wait to show proof of concept first. Want something proven? Then check out my Sniper Report)
However, I will give you a heads up if and when I start taking trades like this in the chat room.
So what are some of my criteria when searching for UOA trades?
- Reckless options orders where the trader is paying at the ask (or above the ask)
- Options volume higher than open interest (indicates a new position)
- Big money long-shot bets
- Options on thinly trade stocks
- Options orders that cause spikes in implied volatility
Now, let’s take a look at some of the options orders that stood out during the week:
Are we close to a bottom in NIO?
On Wednesday, A trader came in and sold 59,900 July $2 Puts in NIO for $0.11. Altogether the trader collected about $660,000 in premium.
When a trader sells puts it’s actually a bullish position. And in this case, they believe the stock will not trade below $2.
NIO has been sold off pretty hard, and it looks like it could be bottoming out here.
Pre-earnings spike in U.S. Silica Holdings (SLCA) coming?
Yesterday, a trader came in and bought 4,978 July $12 calls for an average price of $0.225. Altogether the trade cost about $112,000.
Why do I find this trade interesting?
A couple of reasons…
- The options expire before the earnings announcement (maybe it runs ahead of it)
- This is a longshot bet
- On the day, it was 4.2 times usual options volume
- According to Finviz about 19% of the float is short, a potential short squeeze.
- The company is presenting at Stifel Cross Sector Insight Conference on June 11.
Not only that SLCA is right at a support level, just below $10… and it could be setting up for a nice bounce.
Bullish Bets In Redfin Corporation (RDFN)
Options in Redfin were active on Friday, as more than 4,000 call options traded on the ask side, the July $19 calls were the most active strike traded on the day. It was 4.8 times usual options volume in the name and more than 10 times the average call volume, according to research from Trade Alert.
- Nearly 20% of the float is short the stock, according to finviz
- Multiple strikes were bought including the $18, $19, and $20 calls
- Most of the options bought were ahead of the earnings event
- With the FOMC looking for potential rate cuts, this could actually benefit RDFN since it’s a real estate company.
Now, when you look at the daily chart in RDFN, it’s setting up nicely for a potential gap fill.
If you don’t know how gap fills work… it’s pretty simple. If RDFN breaks above $18.50 and gets into the gap, it acts like a vacuum… pulling the stock price higher, and it’s got room all the way to $20.
As you can see, you can spot a lot of potential trades with UOA… whether these are smart money trades or not… only time will tell.
Now, if you’re interested in learning more about options trading and how I use my simple six-step process (what I call I.G.N.I.T.E), click here to get started.